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[FA]-Badco
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Post subject: Moore's Law at 30.
 Posted: Jan 21, 2010 - 02:24 AM
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[FA]-Member
![[FA]-Member](./modules/PNphpBB2/images/ranks/rank_member.gif "[FA]-Member")
Joined: Apr 17, 2007
Posts: 751
Status: Offline
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| I would have put this up as a poll, but we be so few nowadays I thought I'd open the floor for more detailed discussion. Here's the question: What happens to Moores Law at 3.2nm? |
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[FA]DeathStrikeVirus
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Post subject: RE: Moore
Posted: Jan 21, 2010 - 06:20 AM
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[FA]-Member
Joined: Mar 09, 2007
Posts: 504
Location: Pennsylvania
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| Well, good ole Wikipedia clued me into what you were talking about. Right now programmers and developers can't keep up with how quickly technology is progressing. I personally see the industry hitting a wall, not that they might never get to 3.2nm, and the investors will step in and change the industry. |
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[FA]Old_Fart
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Post subject: RE: Moore
Posted: Jan 22, 2010 - 01:45 AM
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[FA]-Member
Joined: Mar 23, 2007
Posts: 365
Location: texas
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| Well I think moore's law will go out the door concerning semi conductors after 3.2nm. With the advances in nano tech and super conductiity plus the work on quantum computers the age of the semi conducter is coming to a end in the next 20 yrs if not less. |
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People sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf.
George Orwell
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[FA]-Badco
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Post subject: Re: RE: Moore
Posted: Jan 22, 2010 - 04:07 AM
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[FA]-Member
Joined: Apr 17, 2007
Posts: 751
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[FA]Old_Fart wrote:
Well I think moore's law will go out the door concerning semi conductors after 3.2nm. With the advances in nano tech and super conductiity plus the work on quantum computers the age of the semi conducter is coming to a end in the next 20 yrs if not less.
Mmmmmm, I think you might be a little hasty there. 2.4 nm memory is sampling as we speak. The problem for CPU's however is that they are many times more complex in layout than memory cells, thus harder to make. I think I read someplace that quantum effects start to be troubling around 1.2 nm, I'll check up on it and see. But overall I have to agree, I'm pessimistic on seeing much in the way of further miniturization past the 2.0 nm generation, because of several issues. I don't see biocomputing or molycircs coming to the rescue in anything short of decades. |
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